Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Harkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Harkins 52.4% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 90.5%
Defensive zone
Drury 84.0%
Neutral zone
Drury 86.7%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 87.0%
87.0%
13.0%
Drury
Harkins
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Drury
Harkins
Last 7: Drury 6-1 Harkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
0
Drury
Harkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Harkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
3
0
Drury
Harkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Harkins
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
51.1% (403)
+6.9%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
80.0% (10)
-21.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
59.4% (69)
-7.3%
On power play, Harkins has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Harkins shoots left. Drury is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,565).
Drury shoots left. Harkins is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (316).
Home / Away
Drury
Harkins
Home
58.3% (1,212)
55.7% (244)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
50.0% (238)
By Period
Drury
Harkins
P1
56.0%
60.8%
P2
58.6%
45.1%
P3
57.0%
53.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 08:01 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Jansen Harkins |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:58 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:42 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:39 | Neutral | Jack Drury |