Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs Carter 60.1% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 80.1%
Defensive zone
Carter 71.1%
Neutral zone
Drury 60.8%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Drury
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Drury
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
Drury
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
65.6% (262)
-10.9%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
68.3% (63)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
50.5% (99)
+20.9%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Drury is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Drury shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Drury
Carter
Home
56.7% (358)
64.3% (207)
Away
53.6% (306)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Drury
Carter
P1
57.3%
65.3%
P2
57.6%
60.1%
P3
51.1%
63.8%
Final 5 min
53.4%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 06:12 | Neutral | Jack Drury |