Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.3% vs 57.9%). Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Toews 57.9% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 57.4%
Defensive zone
Drury 71.9%
Neutral zone
Drury 60.8%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Drury
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Drury
Toews
Last 5: Drury 1-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Drury
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Drury
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Drury
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
57.2% (13,047)
+0.8%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
63.3% (3,252)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
53.6% (1,810)
-1.5%
On power play, Toews has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Drury is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,565).
Drury shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Home / Away
Drury
Toews
Home
58.3% (1,212)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Drury
Toews
P1
56.0%
58.6%
P2
58.6%
57.8%
P3
57.0%
57.3%
OT
62.5%
58.9%
Final 5 min
53.7%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 02:05 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |