Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Dowling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Dowling 48.9% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 81.6%
Defensive zone
Drury 90.4%
Neutral zone
Drury 90.2%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Drury
Dowling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Drury
Dowling
Last 5: Drury 4-1 Dowling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Dowling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Dowling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Dowling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
49.4% (652)
+8.6%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
40.6% (32)
+17.9%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
33.3% (9)
+18.8%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Drury is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,565).
Drury shoots left. Dowling is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Home / Away
Drury
Dowling
Home
58.3% (1,212)
48.2% (301)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
49.2% (392)
By Period
Drury
Dowling
P1
56.0%
47.6%
P2
58.6%
50.4%
P3
57.0%
48.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2025 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 14:12 | Offensive | Jack Drury |