Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Drury wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Stenlund 54.3% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Drury 53.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 69.7%
Neutral zone
Drury 52.9%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Drury
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Drury
Stenlund
Last 10: Drury 4-6 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
3
0
Drury
Stenlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
8
Drury
Stenlund
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Stenlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (667)
56.1% (615)
+5.1%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
53.2% (47)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (157)
52.1% (307)
-3.1%
On power play, Stenlund has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Drury is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Drury shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Drury
Stenlund
Home
59.2% (407)
57.0% (458)
Away
58.1% (427)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Drury
Stenlund
P1
59.0%
55.1%
P2
57.7%
53.3%
P3
59.1%
56.4%
OT
60.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
50.7%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 12:45 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 05:05 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:29 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 01:35 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 13:27 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Jack Drury |