Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs Eller 52.0% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 67.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 88.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 59.3%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Drury
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Drury
Eller
Last 6: Drury 2-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Drury
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Drury
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
52.8% (742)
+1.9%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
67.6% (34)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
46.2% (156)
+25.2%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Drury is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Drury shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Drury
Eller
Home
56.7% (358)
54.5% (448)
Away
53.6% (306)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Drury
Eller
P1
57.3%
52.8%
P2
57.6%
50.9%
P3
51.1%
53.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2024 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 18:42 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 26, 2024 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 03:06 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Jack Drury |