Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 83.5%
Defensive zone
Drury 75.3%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 56.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Drury
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Drury
Draisaitl
Last 8: Drury 3-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
2
Drury
Draisaitl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Drury
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (667)
55.9% (835)
+5.3%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
61.8% (228)
-21.8%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (157)
50.0% (40)
-1.0%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Drury is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Drury shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Home / Away
Drury
Draisaitl
Home
59.2% (407)
55.1% (508)
Away
58.1% (427)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Drury
Draisaitl
P1
59.0%
55.8%
P2
57.7%
55.7%
P3
59.1%
59.0%
OT
60.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 07:52 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 02:52 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 16:00 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 04:17 | Defensive | Jack Drury |