Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 56.9% vs Celebrini 48.4% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 53.2%
Defensive zone
Drury 78.8%
Neutral zone
Drury 67.2%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Drury
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Drury
Celebrini
Last 5: Drury 3-2 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
1
Drury
Celebrini
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
3
0
Drury
Celebrini
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
1
Drury
Celebrini
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (592)
47.2% (901)
+10.7%
Power Play
67.4% (46)
54.7% (139)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
54.5% (11)
-1.7%
On power play, Drury has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Drury is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Drury shoots left. Celebrini is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Home / Away
Drury
Celebrini
Home
59.3% (364)
47.6% (553)
Away
56.3% (382)
49.0% (498)
By Period
Drury
Celebrini
P1
53.9%
46.6%
P2
60.5%
46.4%
P3
58.3%
51.8%
OT
66.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
55.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.8%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 17:24 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:36 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Jack Drury |