Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Kapanen 47.8% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 70.6%
Defensive zone
Drury 95.0%
Neutral zone
Drury 91.2%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 89.4%
89.4%
10.6%
Drury
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Drury
Kapanen
Last 5: Drury 4-1 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Kapanen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Kapanen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Kapanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (667)
47.5% (514)
+13.7%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
55.0% (40)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (157)
39.5% (38)
+9.5%
On power play, Kapanen has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Drury is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Drury shoots left. Kapanen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
Drury
Kapanen
Home
59.2% (407)
47.9% (307)
Away
58.1% (427)
47.0% (285)
By Period
Drury
Kapanen
P1
59.0%
42.7%
P2
57.7%
51.4%
P3
59.1%
48.4%
OT
60.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Jack Drury |