Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 58.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Kapanen 47.5% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 75.9%
Defensive zone
Drury 93.0%
Neutral zone
Drury 90.1%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Drury
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Drury
Kapanen
Last 5: Drury 4-1 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Kapanen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Kapanen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Kapanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
47.2% (559)
+10.8%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
51.0% (51)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
39.5% (38)
+12.6%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Drury is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (819).
Drury shoots left. Kapanen is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Drury
Kapanen
Home
58.3% (1,212)
47.1% (340)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
47.1% (308)
By Period
Drury
Kapanen
P1
56.0%
42.7%
P2
58.6%
50.2%
P3
57.0%
48.2%
OT
62.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:22 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Jack Drury |