Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.6% vs 59.1%). Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Drury wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Hintz 58.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 77.9%
Defensive zone
Drury 71.8%
Neutral zone
Drury 56.6%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Drury
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Drury
Hintz
Last 7: Drury 4-3 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Drury
Hintz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
3
1
Drury
Hintz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (667)
58.7% (530)
+2.5%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
59.4% (170)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (157)
66.7% (27)
-17.7%
On power play, Hintz has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Drury is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Drury shoots left. Hintz is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Drury
Hintz
Home
59.2% (407)
60.2% (354)
Away
58.1% (427)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Drury
Hintz
P1
59.0%
58.4%
P2
57.7%
59.8%
P3
59.1%
58.2%
OT
60.0%
81.8%
Final 5 min
50.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:22 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:40 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |