Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 56.9% vs Hintz 53.5% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 72.2%
Defensive zone
Hintz 53.0%
Neutral zone
Hintz 54.1%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 57.0%
43.0%
57.0%
Drury
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Drury
Hintz
Last 5: Drury 2-3 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Drury
Hintz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Hintz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Drury
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (592)
53.6% (711)
+4.3%
Power Play
67.4% (46)
53.8% (93)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
58.7% (46)
-5.9%
On power play, Drury has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Drury is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Drury shoots left. Hintz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
Drury
Hintz
Home
59.3% (364)
52.6% (460)
Away
56.3% (382)
55.4% (390)
By Period
Drury
Hintz
P1
53.9%
59.0%
P2
60.5%
52.7%
P3
58.3%
51.1%
OT
66.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.8%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |