Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 54.6% vs Johnson 45.7% (+10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 60.1%
Defensive zone
Johnson 66.1%
Neutral zone
Johnson 57.3%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Drury
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Drury
Johnson
Last 7: Drury 3-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
0
Drury
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Drury
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Johnson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (590)
44.6% (285)
+10.1%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
46.7% (60)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (21)
16.7% (6)
+54.7%
On penalty kill, Drury has a +54.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Drury is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Drury shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Drury
Johnson
Home
56.7% (358)
50.8% (179)
Away
53.6% (306)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Drury
Johnson
P1
57.3%
41.3%
P2
57.6%
41.8%
P3
51.1%
49.6%
Final 5 min
53.4%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
55.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 15:23 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:52 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Jack Drury |