Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Seguin 52.5% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 68.3%
Defensive zone
Drury 51.0%
Neutral zone
Drury 50.3%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Drury
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Drury
Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Drury
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (667)
53.2% (201)
+8.0%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
60.0% (25)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (157)
44.4% (9)
+4.6%
On power play, Seguin has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Drury is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Drury shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Drury
Seguin
Home
59.2% (407)
56.3% (126)
Away
58.1% (427)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Drury
Seguin
P1
59.0%
44.3%
P2
57.7%
52.1%
P3
59.1%
62.5%
OT
60.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | OT | 03:33 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |