Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Drury wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Kozak 49.7% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 89.3%
Defensive zone
Drury 79.7%
Neutral zone
Drury 90.8%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 87.3%
87.3%
12.7%
Drury
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Drury
Kozak
Last 5: Drury 4-1 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
3
1
Drury
Kozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Kozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (667)
49.3% (294)
+11.9%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
60.0% (5)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (157)
50.0% (40)
-1.0%
On power play, Kozak has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Drury is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Drury shoots left. Kozak is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Drury
Kozak
Home
59.2% (407)
45.5% (145)
Away
58.1% (427)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Drury
Kozak
P1
59.0%
53.4%
P2
57.7%
50.0%
P3
59.1%
44.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:02 | Offensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:43 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Jack Drury |