Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Drury wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Kozak 48.8% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 96.0%
Defensive zone
Drury 75.2%
Neutral zone
Drury 93.2%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 92.6%
92.6%
7.4%
Drury
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Drury
Kozak
Last 7: Drury 6-1 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
4
1
Drury
Kozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Kozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Kozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
48.3% (431)
+9.7%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
62.5% (8)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
48.9% (45)
+3.2%
On even strength, Drury has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Drury is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,565).
Drury shoots left. Kozak is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Drury
Kozak
Home
58.3% (1,212)
47.6% (229)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
49.4% (255)
By Period
Drury
Kozak
P1
56.0%
54.4%
P2
58.6%
45.7%
P3
57.0%
45.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:02 | Offensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:43 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 15, 2025 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Jack Drury |