Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Johnston 48.5% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 85.9%
Defensive zone
Johnston 73.7%
Neutral zone
Johnston 82.9%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 76.8%
23.2%
76.8%
Drury
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Drury
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
2
Drury
Johnston
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Drury
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (667)
47.8% (623)
+13.4%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
50.8% (63)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (157)
51.4% (35)
-2.4%
On even strength, Drury has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Drury is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Drury shoots left. Johnston is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Drury
Johnston
Home
59.2% (407)
47.6% (351)
Away
58.1% (427)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Drury
Johnston
P1
59.0%
49.6%
P2
57.7%
47.3%
P3
59.1%
48.0%
OT
60.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.7%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |