Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Drury wins 58.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Johnston 49.1% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Johnston leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnston 90.1%
Defensive zone
Johnston 82.4%
Neutral zone
Johnston 90.1%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 87.8%
12.2%
87.8%
Drury
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Drury
Johnston
Last 10: Drury 1-9 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Drury
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
3
Drury
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
5
Drury
Johnston
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
49.3% (2,189)
+8.7%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
52.6% (173)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
44.7% (237)
+7.4%
On even strength, Drury has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Drury is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (819).
Drury shoots left. Johnston is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,967).
Home / Away
Drury
Johnston
Home
58.3% (1,212)
49.2% (1,319)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
49.0% (1,280)
By Period
Drury
Johnston
P1
56.0%
50.1%
P2
58.6%
48.3%
P3
57.0%
48.8%
OT
62.5%
51.6%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:49 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Mar 16, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 17:08 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 08:25 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |