Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). Bedard wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.3% vs Eichel 45.1% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Bedard 75.5%
Defensive zone
Bedard 80.4%
Neutral zone
Bedard 74.3%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Bedard
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
18
(27 meetings)
9
18
Bedard
Eichel
Last 10: Bedard 4-6 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
5
Bedard
Eichel
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
4
Bedard
Eichel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
5
9
Bedard
Eichel
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
40.1% (1,580)
44.7% (8,462)
-4.6%
Power Play
51.9% (77)
52.8% (925)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
38.3% (540)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Bedard has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Bedard is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Bedard shoots right. Eichel is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,909).
Home / Away
Bedard
Eichel
Home
43.3% (785)
45.7% (4,899)
Away
38.5% (896)
44.5% (5,028)
By Period
Bedard
Eichel
P1
39.0%
45.4%
P2
40.7%
45.8%
P3
42.6%
44.2%
OT
42.9%
44.2%
Final 5 min
44.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
46.0%▲
42.5%
40.7%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 10:39 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor Bedard |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 03:24 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 11:08 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Connor Bedard |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 08:57 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |