Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 52.0% vs Eichel 47.1% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 88.6%
Defensive zone
Eichel 60.4%
Neutral zone
Eichel 74.2%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 79.9%
20.1%
79.9%
Ryan
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Ryan
Eichel
Last 5: Ryan 0-5 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
2
Ryan
Eichel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
3
Ryan
Eichel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (603)
46.4% (1,019)
+7.7%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
52.5% (242)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (85)
28.0% (50)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Ryan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Ryan shoots right. Eichel is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Ryan
Eichel
Home
52.5% (341)
48.0% (683)
Away
52.2% (391)
45.5% (628)
By Period
Ryan
Eichel
P1
56.0%
46.1%
P2
48.1%
47.6%
P3
52.8%
46.4%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.3%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 5, 2019 | 1 | 07:50 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 04:11 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |