Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.8% vs Hughes 37.9% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 86.7%
Defensive zone
Eichel 53.0%
Neutral zone
Hughes 67.2%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Eichel
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Eichel
Hughes
Last 6: Eichel 2-4 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
3
Eichel
Hughes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
0
Eichel
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Eichel
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (708)
34.9% (444)
+10.6%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
50.0% (14)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
33.3% (6)
-4.3%
On even strength, Eichel has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Eichel is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Eichel shoots right. Hughes is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Eichel
Hughes
Home
46.1% (388)
37.4% (235)
Away
44.4% (405)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Eichel
Hughes
P1
46.8%
37.1%
P2
43.4%
33.7%
P3
45.4%
34.8%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2023 | 3 | 00:50 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 2 | 09:44 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 3, 2023 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:38 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |