Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.6% vs 46.1%). Eichel wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Guentzel 46.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 69.5%
Defensive zone
Eichel 71.4%
Neutral zone
Eichel 51.0%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Eichel
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eichel
Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Guentzel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
1
Eichel
Guentzel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (1,044)
46.1% (256)
-0.2%
Power Play
55.9% (59)
47.5% (122)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
16.7% (6)
+23.0%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Eichel shoots right. Guentzel is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Eichel
Guentzel
Home
46.5% (606)
49.3% (201)
Away
44.8% (648)
42.6% (183)
By Period
Eichel
Guentzel
P1
47.2%
49.6%
P2
46.9%
45.6%
P3
42.7%
41.6%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:41 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |