Scouting Report
Jared McCann holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — McCann shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs McCann 48.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 57.5%
Defensive zone
Eichel 52.4%
Neutral zone
McCann 56.4%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Eichel
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Eichel
McCann
Last 7: Eichel 5-2 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
1
Eichel
McCann
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
0
Eichel
McCann
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
0
1
Eichel
McCann
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
48.8% (260)
-2.4%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
37.0% (27)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
50.0% (20)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Eichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Eichel shoots right. McCann is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Eichel
McCann
Home
44.0% (457)
51.0% (143)
Away
47.0% (451)
45.1% (164)
By Period
Eichel
McCann
P1
45.1%
53.6%
P2
46.5%
52.0%
P3
45.3%
37.6%
OT
28.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.9%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:06 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 05:36 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 1, 2024 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 10, 2023 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |