Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Eichel wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 42.4% vs Thornton 51.7% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 78.6%
Defensive zone
Eichel 70.4%
Neutral zone
Eichel 71.8%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Eichel
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Eichel
Thornton
Last 6: Eichel 0-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Eichel
Thornton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
5
Eichel
Thornton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (791)
52.7% (372)
-11.1%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
47.6% (63)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (9)
60.0% (5)
-60.0%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Eichel is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Eichel shoots right. Thornton is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Eichel
Thornton
Home
44.6% (408)
51.2% (250)
Away
38.6% (428)
53.2% (190)
By Period
Eichel
Thornton
P1
43.0%
56.1%
P2
40.7%
52.8%
P3
41.7%
47.4%
OT
20.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
42.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
41.5%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 02:35 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 12:26 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |