Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Thornton 54.3% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Thornton leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 76.7%
Defensive zone
Eichel 77.8%
Neutral zone
Eichel 84.2%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Eichel
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Eichel
Thornton
Last 10: Eichel 4-6 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
3
4
Eichel
Thornton
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
2
Eichel
Thornton
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
7
Eichel
Thornton
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
53.5% (6,640)
-8.8%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
57.2% (1,387)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
56.7% (427)
-18.4%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Eichel shoots right. Thornton is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (3,270).
Home / Away
Eichel
Thornton
Home
45.7% (4,899)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Eichel
Thornton
P1
45.4%
55.0%
P2
45.8%
53.3%
P3
44.2%
54.4%
OT
44.2%
56.4%
Final 5 min
45.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 15:19 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 16:42 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 1 | 11:24 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 02:35 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 1 | 12:26 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |