Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.1% vs 44.3%). Look for Drouin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Drouin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Drouin 44.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 73.3%
Defensive zone
Eichel 52.1%
Neutral zone
Drouin 59.9%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Eichel
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Eichel
Drouin
Last 9: Eichel 2-7 Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
0
2
Eichel
Drouin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
1
2
Eichel
Drouin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drouin
1
3
Eichel
Drouin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
43.5% (1,824)
+1.2%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
48.3% (387)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
39.1% (23)
-0.8%
On power play, Eichel has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Eichel shoots right. Drouin is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (849).
Home / Away
Eichel
Drouin
Home
45.7% (4,899)
44.0% (1,041)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
44.5% (1,193)
By Period
Eichel
Drouin
P1
45.4%
45.9%
P2
45.8%
42.0%
P3
44.2%
45.0%
OT
44.2%
47.1%
Final 5 min
45.9%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 5, 2023 | 1 | 12:37 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 15:57 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 1 | 04:17 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Oct 5, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |