Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 22 meetings). Eichel wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Staal 55.3% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 44-37 in 81 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 68.2%
Defensive zone
Eichel 59.3%
Neutral zone
Eichel 72.4%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Eichel
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
44
(81 meetings)
37
44
Eichel
Staal
Last 10: Eichel 5-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
21
10
Eichel
Staal
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
17
Eichel
Staal
22 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
11
17
Eichel
Staal
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
55.9% (14,620)
-11.2%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
62.7% (1,745)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
48.0% (2,896)
-9.7%
On even strength, Staal has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Eichel shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,553).
Home / Away
Eichel
Staal
Home
45.7% (4,899)
56.4% (9,663)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
54.3% (9,663)
By Period
Eichel
Staal
P1
45.4%
55.2%
P2
45.8%
55.9%
P3
44.2%
54.9%
OT
44.2%
56.2%
Final 5 min
45.9%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:09 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:34 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 02:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 17:20 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |