Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eichel wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Norris 51.9% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 53.6%
Defensive zone
Eichel 58.1%
Neutral zone
Eichel 53.8%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Eichel
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Eichel
Norris
Last 5: Eichel 2-3 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Norris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
2
Eichel
Norris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Eichel
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
52.2% (542)
-5.8%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
54.4% (57)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
46.7% (30)
-4.5%
On power play, Norris has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Eichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Eichel shoots right. Norris is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Eichel
Norris
Home
44.0% (457)
50.7% (351)
Away
47.0% (451)
54.0% (278)
By Period
Eichel
Norris
P1
45.1%
55.6%
P2
46.5%
49.3%
P3
45.3%
52.1%
OT
28.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
41.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:13 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 17, 2023 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Josh Norris |