Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 48.1% vs Barzal 41.4% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 57.7%
Defensive zone
Barzal 55.4%
Neutral zone
Barzal 56.6%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Eichel
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Eichel
Barzal
Last 5: Eichel 2-3 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Eichel
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
1
2
Eichel
Barzal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (858)
40.4% (463)
+7.3%
Power Play
55.6% (63)
34.2% (38)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (87)
28.6% (7)
+16.2%
On power play, Eichel has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Eichel is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (308).
Eichel shoots right. Barzal is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Eichel
Barzal
Home
47.7% (509)
38.1% (244)
Away
48.1% (499)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Eichel
Barzal
P1
49.5%
46.6%
P2
48.5%
35.7%
P3
46.8%
37.7%
OT
37.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 18:56 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 08:36 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |