Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Eichel wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Marner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.0% vs Marner 42.8% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 51.0%
Defensive zone
Eichel 53.7%
Neutral zone
Eichel 52.9%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Eichel
Marner
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Eichel
Marner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marner
0
1
Eichel
Marner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Marner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Marner
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (8,243)
41.5% (359)
+3.0%
Power Play
52.5% (914)
55.6% (18)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (520)
34.4% (61)
+3.5%
On penalty kill, Eichel has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marner shoots right. Eichel is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (2,839).
Eichel shoots right. Marner is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (146).
Home / Away
Eichel
Marner
Home
45.4% (4,775)
37.3% (255)
Away
44.5% (4,902)
46.4% (183)
By Period
Eichel
Marner
P1
45.2%
38.8%
P2
45.7%
39.6%
P3
43.9%
46.8%
OT
44.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.9%
Marner
42.0%▲
37.5%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Mitch Marner |
| Apr 2, 2018 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |