Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Eichel wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Frost 51.1% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 85.7%
Defensive zone
Eichel 58.7%
Neutral zone
Frost 63.0%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Eichel
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Eichel
Frost
Last 10: Eichel 6-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
4
Eichel
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
5
1
Eichel
Frost
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (1,044)
50.3% (825)
-4.4%
Power Play
55.9% (59)
54.9% (204)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
39.7% (151)
50.0% (4)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Eichel shoots right. Frost is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Eichel
Frost
Home
46.5% (606)
50.7% (489)
Away
44.8% (648)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Eichel
Frost
P1
47.2%
53.6%
P2
46.9%
47.8%
P3
42.7%
52.0%
OT
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
41.4%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 04:18 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 17:22 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:39 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 25, 2024 | OT | 04:36 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:00 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |