Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Bjugstad 49.3% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 69.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 68.0%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.5%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Eichel
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Eichel
Bjugstad
Last 8: Eichel 4-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Eichel
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
3
Eichel
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
4
0
Eichel
Bjugstad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
50.7% (906)
-4.3%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
48.1% (108)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
44.4% (239)
-2.2%
On power play, Bjugstad has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Eichel is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Eichel shoots right. Bjugstad is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Eichel
Bjugstad
Home
44.0% (457)
49.8% (643)
Away
47.0% (451)
48.7% (610)
By Period
Eichel
Bjugstad
P1
45.1%
49.4%
P2
46.5%
50.5%
P3
45.3%
47.9%
OT
28.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 04:46 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |