Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Eichel wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.9% vs Zacha 54.4% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 63.9%
Defensive zone
Eichel 59.6%
Neutral zone
Zacha 53.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Eichel
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Eichel
Zacha
Last 5: Eichel 2-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
3
Eichel
Zacha
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (730)
53.9% (787)
-7.5%
Power Play
40.3% (62)
63.2% (193)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (116)
44.3% (88)
-2.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Eichel is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (722).
Eichel shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Eichel
Zacha
Home
44.0% (457)
56.7% (538)
Away
47.0% (451)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Eichel
Zacha
P1
45.1%
52.6%
P2
46.5%
54.8%
P3
45.3%
56.8%
OT
28.6%
59.1%
Final 5 min
41.9%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:31 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 03:37 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |