Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Eichel wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.1% vs Johnson 49.7% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 19-12 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 65.0%
Defensive zone
Eichel 73.0%
Neutral zone
Eichel 66.1%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Eichel
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
19
(31 meetings)
12
19
Eichel
Johnson
Last 10: Eichel 4-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
6
4
Eichel
Johnson
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
5
4
Eichel
Johnson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
1
11
Eichel
Johnson
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (8,462)
49.8% (5,396)
-5.1%
Power Play
52.8% (925)
54.6% (885)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (540)
42.3% (707)
-4.0%
On even strength, Johnson has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Eichel is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,909).
Eichel shoots right. Johnson is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,203).
Home / Away
Eichel
Johnson
Home
45.7% (4,899)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
44.5% (5,028)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Eichel
Johnson
P1
45.4%
50.1%
P2
45.8%
50.6%
P3
44.2%
48.4%
OT
44.2%
42.5%
Final 5 min
45.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 04:12 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 29, 2018 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 1 | 09:39 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 4, 2017 | OT | 04:29 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 17:19 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |