Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Horvat wins 56.8% vs right-shot opponents — Finley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Finley 48.8% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 52.6%
Defensive zone
Finley 85.9%
Neutral zone
Finley 67.8%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 75.2%
24.8%
75.2%
Horvat
Finley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Horvat
Finley
Last 7: Horvat 2-5 Finley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Finley
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
0
4
Horvat
Finley
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Horvat
Finley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Finley
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (670)
47.3% (239)
+7.9%
Power Play
61.8% (225)
50.0% (14)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (98)
57.7% (26)
-10.8%
On power play, Horvat has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Finley shoots right. Horvat is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (396).
Horvat shoots left. Finley is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Home / Away
Horvat
Finley
Home
58.1% (449)
50.0% (162)
Away
54.0% (544)
46.2% (117)
By Period
Horvat
Finley
P1
59.2%
53.2%
P2
53.1%
44.6%
P3
55.8%
49.0%
OT
55.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 10:47 | Defensive | Jack Finley |