Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 48.8% vs Stenlund 54.2% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 62.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 86.8%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 69.7%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 75.2%
24.8%
75.2%
Finley
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Finley
Stenlund
Last 5: Finley 4-1 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Finley
1
0
Finley
Stenlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
2
0
Finley
Stenlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Finley
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (239)
56.2% (605)
-8.9%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
53.2% (47)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
51.8% (305)
+5.9%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Finley is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Finley shoots right. Stenlund is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Home / Away
Finley
Stenlund
Home
50.0% (162)
57.0% (446)
Away
46.2% (117)
52.6% (511)
By Period
Finley
Stenlund
P1
53.2%
55.4%
P2
44.6%
53.2%
P3
49.0%
56.2%
OT
0.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.4%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
58.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:33 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |