Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 49.0% vs Stenlund 54.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 61.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 86.4%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 75.7%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 77.1%
22.9%
77.1%
Finley
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Finley
Stenlund
Last 5: Finley 4-1 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Finley
1
0
Finley
Stenlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
2
0
Finley
Stenlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Finley
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (244)
55.3% (2,703)
-7.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
52.6% (116)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
50.6% (919)
+7.1%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Finley is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Finley shoots right. Stenlund is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (931).
Home / Away
Finley
Stenlund
Home
50.0% (162)
54.3% (1,848)
Away
46.7% (122)
53.9% (1,890)
By Period
Finley
Stenlund
P1
53.2%
56.4%
P2
44.6%
53.3%
P3
49.5%
52.8%
OT
0.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.6%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:33 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |