Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Finley wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 48.8% vs Jankowski 53.6% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Jankowski leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 73.1%
Defensive zone
Finley 71.3%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 53.7%
Result
Mark Jankowski favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Finley
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Finley
Jankowski
Last 10: Finley 5-5 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Finley
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Finley
Jankowski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Finley
4
3
Finley
Jankowski
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (239)
54.1% (527)
-6.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
50.0% (14)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
57.5% (40)
+0.2%
On even strength, Jankowski has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Finley is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Finley shoots right. Jankowski is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Finley
Jankowski
Home
50.0% (162)
53.9% (310)
Away
46.2% (117)
54.6% (271)
By Period
Finley
Jankowski
P1
53.2%
54.6%
P2
44.6%
56.3%
P3
49.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.4%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 08:17 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |