Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Finley wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Jankowski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 49.0% vs Jankowski 50.4% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Jankowski leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Jankowski 54.1%
Defensive zone
Finley 58.0%
Neutral zone
Jankowski 51.2%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Finley
Jankowski
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Finley
Jankowski
Last 10: Finley 5-5 Jankowski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
0
1
Finley
Jankowski
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Finley
Jankowski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Finley
4
3
Finley
Jankowski
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Jankowski
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (244)
51.5% (3,462)
-4.0%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
53.7% (95)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
42.8% (528)
+14.9%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jankowski shoots left. Finley is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Finley shoots right. Jankowski is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,550).
Home / Away
Finley
Jankowski
Home
50.0% (162)
51.9% (1,940)
Away
46.7% (122)
49.1% (2,145)
By Period
Finley
Jankowski
P1
53.2%
50.0%
P2
44.6%
51.2%
P3
49.5%
50.2%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.6%
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 01:57 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 08:17 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 10:25 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |