Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.4%). Finley wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lapierre shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.3% vs Lapierre 51.3% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Finley 61.5%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 60.5%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 51.3%
Result
Maxim Lapierre favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Finley
Lapierre
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (284)
52.9% (2,085)
-2.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
53.1% (32)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
43.1% (415)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots right. Finley is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Finley shoots right. Lapierre is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
Finley
Lapierre
Home
53.8% (199)
53.0% (1,250)
Away
45.5% (132)
49.8% (1,289)
By Period
Finley
Lapierre
P1
52.8%
52.5%
P2
47.5%
50.7%
P3
51.6%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
51.4%