Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Finley wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 48.8% vs Hischier 54.9% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Finley 59.3%
Defensive zone
Finley 78.6%
Neutral zone
Finley 62.0%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Finley
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Finley
Hischier
Last 10: Finley 2-8 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
6
Finley
Hischier
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
3
2
Finley
Hischier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Finley
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (239)
55.0% (1,107)
-7.7%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
63.1% (252)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
43.6% (149)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Finley is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Finley shoots right. Hischier is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Finley
Hischier
Home
50.0% (162)
56.5% (763)
Away
46.2% (117)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Finley
Hischier
P1
53.2%
56.0%
P2
44.6%
57.6%
P3
49.0%
53.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.4%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:37 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Jack Finley |