Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Finley wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 49.0% vs Hischier 52.6% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Finley 58.0%
Defensive zone
Finley 79.2%
Neutral zone
Finley 68.9%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Finley
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Finley
Hischier
Last 10: Finley 2-8 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
6
Finley
Hischier
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
3
2
Finley
Hischier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Finley
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (244)
51.5% (8,379)
-4.0%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
59.7% (1,736)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
49.4% (903)
+8.3%
On power play, Hischier has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Finley is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Finley shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,970).
Home / Away
Finley
Hischier
Home
50.0% (162)
53.0% (5,449)
Away
46.7% (122)
52.2% (5,569)
By Period
Finley
Hischier
P1
53.2%
52.9%
P2
44.6%
52.4%
P3
49.5%
52.6%
OT
0.0%
50.6%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.6%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:37 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:17 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:37 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:20 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Jack Finley |