Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 48.8% vs Roy 51.9% (-3.8%)
Offensive zone
Finley 53.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 52.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.6%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Finley
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (239)
51.9% (547)
-4.6%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
54.1% (37)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
53.3% (92)
+4.4%
On even strength, Roy has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Finley is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (81).
Finley shoots right. Roy is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Finley
Roy
Home
50.0% (162)
54.0% (328)
Away
46.2% (117)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Finley
Roy
P1
53.2%
53.5%
P2
44.6%
51.6%
P3
49.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.4%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%