Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 49.0% vs Acciari 51.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Finley 72.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 66.5%
Neutral zone
Acciari 51.5%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 66.5%
33.5%
66.5%
Finley
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Finley
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Finley
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (244)
52.8% (3,276)
-5.3%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
48.2% (85)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
47.1% (1,061)
+10.6%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Finley is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Finley shoots right. Acciari is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,186).
Home / Away
Finley
Acciari
Home
50.0% (162)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
46.7% (122)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Finley
Acciari
P1
53.2%
52.2%
P2
44.6%
51.5%
P3
49.5%
50.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.6%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |