Scouting Report
Jack Finley holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 49.0% vs Sundqvist 44.3% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Finley 81.9%
Defensive zone
Finley 79.6%
Neutral zone
Finley 74.6%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Finley
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Finley
Sundqvist
Last 5: Finley 4-1 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Finley
2
0
Finley
Sundqvist
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sundqvist
0
1
Finley
Sundqvist
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Finley
2
0
Finley
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (244)
44.2% (2,842)
+3.3%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
51.0% (98)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
41.6% (385)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Finley is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (82).
Finley shoots right. Sundqvist is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (946).
Home / Away
Finley
Sundqvist
Home
50.0% (162)
44.2% (1,584)
Away
46.7% (122)
44.0% (1,741)
By Period
Finley
Sundqvist
P1
53.2%
42.8%
P2
44.6%
45.6%
P3
49.5%
43.7%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.6%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 04:20 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:21 | Neutral | Jack Finley |