Scouting Report
Rodrigo Abols holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Finley wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Abols shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 49.0% vs Abols 53.1% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Abols 80.3%
Defensive zone
Abols 56.7%
Neutral zone
Abols 66.4%
Result
Rodrigo Abols favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Finley
Abols
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Finley
Abols
Last 8: Finley 5-3 Abols
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Finley
3
0
Finley
Abols
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Abols
0
1
Finley
Abols
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Finley
Abols
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Abols
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (244)
53.7% (402)
-6.2%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
57.1% (7)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
57.1% (7)
+0.6%
On power play, Abols has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Abols shoots left. Finley is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Finley shoots right. Abols is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Finley
Abols
Home
50.0% (162)
56.3% (215)
Away
46.7% (122)
51.2% (201)
By Period
Finley
Abols
P1
53.2%
55.6%
P2
44.6%
47.3%
P3
49.5%
59.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.6%
Abols
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 16:00 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 08:45 | Neutral | Rodrigo Abols |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 08:28 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 15:34 | Neutral | Jack Finley |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Rodrigo Abols |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Jack Finley |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Jack Finley |