Scouting Report
Jack Finley holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Finley wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 50.3% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+2.1%)
Offensive zone
Finley 51.6%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 52.1%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 56.2%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Finley
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (284)
49.6% (2,027)
+0.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
41.5% (41)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (33)
43.9% (467)
+7.6%
On power play, Finley has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Finley is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Finley shoots right. Carpenter is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (695).
Home / Away
Finley
Carpenter
Home
53.8% (199)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
45.5% (132)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Finley
Carpenter
P1
52.8%
49.6%
P2
47.5%
47.7%
P3
51.6%
48.0%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%