Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Finley wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 49.0% vs Plekanec 50.1% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 52.1%
Defensive zone
Finley 56.7%
Neutral zone
Finley 51.2%
Result
Jack Finley favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Finley
Plekanec
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (244)
50.8% (8,558)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
51.3% (1,151)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
46.0% (1,924)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Finley has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Finley is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Finley shoots right. Plekanec is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,678).
Home / Away
Finley
Plekanec
Home
50.0% (162)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
46.7% (122)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
Finley
Plekanec
P1
53.2%
52.5%
P2
44.6%
48.9%
P3
49.5%
49.0%
OT
0.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.6%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%