Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.6%). Finley wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Finley 49.0% vs Kozak 48.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Finley 53.4%
Defensive zone
Kozak 54.4%
Neutral zone
Kozak 54.6%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Finley
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Finley
Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kozak
0
1
Finley
Kozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Finley
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (244)
48.3% (431)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
62.5% (8)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
48.9% (45)
+8.8%
On power play, Kozak has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Finley is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Finley shoots right. Kozak is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Finley
Kozak
Home
50.0% (162)
47.6% (229)
Away
46.7% (122)
49.4% (255)
By Period
Finley
Kozak
P1
53.2%
54.4%
P2
44.6%
45.7%
P3
49.5%
45.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Finley
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.6%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:48 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |