Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 49.2% vs Hughes 38.6% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 93.5%
Defensive zone
Hughes 54.3%
Neutral zone
Hughes 80.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 85.7%
14.3%
85.7%
Sutter
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sutter
Hughes
Last 5: Sutter 1-4 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
4
Sutter
Hughes
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
0
Sutter
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (274)
35.6% (362)
+14.0%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
38.5% (91)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (78)
33.3% (9)
+12.9%
On even strength, Sutter has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Sutter is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Sutter shoots right. Hughes is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Sutter
Hughes
Home
46.6% (178)
37.6% (255)
Away
51.0% (200)
34.3% (207)
By Period
Sutter
Hughes
P1
43.5%
28.5%
P2
51.7%
39.2%
P3
52.4%
40.8%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
48.9%
Hughes
34.0%▼
36.5%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2019 | 1 | 11:13 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:42 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |